Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00214696          33          49          15           3           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000722333          30          48          17           5           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   5.47477e-08          33          59           8           0           0        B1.6
est. ISN   =       0.00000          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            36.75       49.00       12.25        2.00        0.00     B1.8
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)