Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212703          35          58           6           1           0        B1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000683575          25          55          16           4           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   5.81992e-08          27          63          10           0           0        B1.8
est. ISN   =       8.00000          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            34.25       54.25       10.25        1.25        0.00     B1.6
 
realized                                                                                      B4.7