Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213718          36          50          12           2           0        B2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000702007          25          52          20           3           0        B3.3
GOES Xray  =   6.61630e-08          17          67          15           1           0        B2.5
est. ISN   =       20.0000          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                            22.75       56.50       18.50        2.25        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                      B1.8