Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215276          32          50          16           2           0        B2.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000715247          27          46          23           4           0        B3.4
GOES Xray  =   6.79327e-08          13          68          18           1           0        B2.7
est. ISN   =       21.0000          12          52          33           3           0        B6.5
 
together                            21.00       54.00       22.50        2.50        0.00     B3.2
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)