Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00214956          35          47          15           3           0        B2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000719600          28          49          19           4           0        B3.1
GOES Xray  =   6.25410e-08          18          66          15           1           0        B2.5
est. ISN   =       40.0000           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                            21.75       51.50       23.00        3.50        0.25     B3.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)