Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227000           2          34          50          14           0        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000824000           7          41          44           8           0        C1.2
GOES Xray  =   1.30000e-07           6          60          33           1           0        B6.6
est. ISN   =       34.0000           7          47          35          11           0        B8.9
 
together                             5.50       45.50       40.50        8.50        0.00     B9.8
 
realized                                                                                      B3.6