Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222407           6          46          42           6           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000776493          13          47          33           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   1.41998e-07           8          66          25           1           0        B6.6
est. ISN   =       34.0000           7          47          35          11           0        B8.9
 
together                             8.50       51.50       33.75        6.25        0.00     B7.4
 
realized                                                                                      B7.3