Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215745          32          47          19           2           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000713776          27          47          21           5           0        B3.1
GOES Xray  =   8.18261e-08           6          69          22           3           0        B3.9
est. ISN   =       20.0000          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                            19.50       55.00       22.25        3.25        0.00     B3.4
 
realized                                                                                      B2.3