Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00214431          33          49          15           3           0        B2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000704237          25          51          21           3           0        B3.4
GOES Xray  =   6.93488e-08          13          69          17           1           0        B2.8
est. ISN   =       15.0000          19          62          17           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            22.50       57.75       17.50        2.25        0.00     B2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C2.3