Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213461          38          53           7           2           0        B1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000692138          24          53          19           4           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   5.35974e-08          35          56           8           1           0        B1.5
est. ISN   =       9.00000          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            33.50       52.00       12.25        2.25        0.00     B1.8
 
realized                                                                                      B5.0