Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212901          35          57           6           2           0        B1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000675133          29          56          13           2           0        B2.0
GOES Xray  =   7.44812e-08          11          67          20           2           0        B3.1
est. ISN   =       0.00000          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            31.50       55.00       12.00        1.50        0.00     B1.8
 
realized                                                                                      B1.5