Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212491          36          57           6           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000666486          29          60           9           2           0        B2.0
GOES Xray  =   5.35088e-08          36          55           8           1           0        B1.4
est. ISN   =       0.00000          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            38.00       53.00        8.00        1.00        0.00     B1.4
 
realized                                                                                      B1.6