Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215967          34          48          16           2           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000683402          26          54          16           4           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   8.87283e-08           5          64          28           3           0        B4.4
est. ISN   =       26.0000           7          53          34           6           0        B6.7
 
together                            18.00       54.75       23.50        3.75        0.00     B3.9
 
realized                                                                                      B3.9