Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00220158           7          45          39           9           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000747654          20          41          31           8           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   9.19670e-08           5          62          29           4           0        B4.6
est. ISN   =       40.0000           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             9.50       48.00       35.50        6.75        0.25     B7.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7