Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222166           6          47          39           8           0        B8.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000770896          15          44          34           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.14806e-07           6          59          33           2           0        B5.8
est. ISN   =       42.0000           5          36          52           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             8.00       46.50       39.50        5.50        0.50     B8.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5