Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223864           5          49          40           6           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000807001          11          44          41           4           0        B7.9
GOES Xray  =   1.05984e-07           7          58          32           3           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =       44.0000           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             6.75       44.75       43.25        5.00        0.25     B9.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3