Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00217092          26          55          17           2           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000727353          28          48          19           5           0        B2.9
GOES Xray  =   6.05735e-08          24          61          14           1           0        B2.1
est. ISN   =       25.0000           7          55          32           6           0        B6.5
 
together                            21.25       54.75       20.50        3.50        0.00     B3.1
 
realized                                                                                      B1.8