Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215229          31          51          16           2           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000684360          24          54          18           4           0        B2.9
GOES Xray  =   9.08519e-08           4          65          27           4           0        B4.4
est. ISN   =       47.0000           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                            15.75       48.25       30.75        4.75        0.50     B4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C2.3