Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215778          33          46          19           2           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000681925          26          55          16           3           0        B2.6
GOES Xray  =   1.17287e-07           8          57          33           2           0        B6.1
est. ISN   =       44.0000           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                            17.75       46.50       32.00        3.50        0.25     B5.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1