Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215467          32          49          17           2           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000683665          25          55          16           4           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   1.07576e-07           7          58          32           3           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =       23.0000           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                            18.00       54.25       24.00        3.75        0.00     B4.0
 
realized                                                                                      B6.5