Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215386          33          49          16           2           0        B2.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000685900          25          52          19           4           0        B2.9
GOES Xray  =   1.06338e-07           7          58          32           3           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =       24.0000           8          54          33           5           0        B6.5
 
together                            18.25       53.25       25.00        3.50        0.00     B4.0
 
realized                                                                                      C5.7