Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00216956          26          56          16           2           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000707802          26          48          23           3           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   1.12585e-07           7          57          34           2           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =       11.0000          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            20.25       54.75       22.75        2.25        0.00     B3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C4.9