Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00220339           8          45          38           9           0        B8.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000741222          22          43          28           7           0        B5.0
GOES Xray  =   1.70259e-07          11          50          33           6           0        B7.9
est. ISN   =       22.0000           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                            12.25       48.00       33.25        6.50        0.00     B6.8
 
realized                                                                                      M5.4