Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00219095          14          46          37           3           0        B6.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000723437          30          47          19           4           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   1.30819e-07           6          60          33           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =       23.0000           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                            14.50       52.00       30.00        3.50        0.00     B5.4
 
realized                                                                                      C5.4