Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00218633          17          51          31           1           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000743421          20          43          30           7           0        B5.1
GOES Xray  =   1.00513e-07           7          60          29           4           0        B5.1
est. ISN   =       19.0000          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            14.75       53.25       28.25        3.75        0.00     B4.6
 
realized                                                                                      B3.0