Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221355           6          41          44           9           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000789691          13          47          35           5           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   1.26114e-07           7          63          30           0           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =       32.0000           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                             7.50       49.25       36.75        6.50        0.00     B7.3
 
realized                                                                                      C4.7