Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223174           6          52          35           7           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000835404           4          47          41           8           0        B9.8
GOES Xray  =   9.92476e-08           7          60          29           4           0        B5.2
est. ISN   =       43.0000           4          35          54           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             5.25       48.50       39.75        6.00        0.50     B8.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3