Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00217151          26          56          16           2           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000768539          14          45          34           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   8.12472e-08           6          70          21           3           0        B3.7
est. ISN   =       17.0000          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            15.75       58.50       22.00        3.75        0.00     B3.7
 
realized                                                                                      B2.2