Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215268          31          51          16           2           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000757130          18          42          31           9           0        B6.0
GOES Xray  =   5.33864e-08          36          55           8           1           0        B1.4
est. ISN   =       8.00000          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            33.75       47.25       16.00        3.00        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)