Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224920           6          45          44           5           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000868752           3          38          49          10           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   1.05491e-07           7          57          33           3           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =       31.0000           5          47          40           8           0        B9.8
 
together                             5.25       46.75       41.50        6.50        0.00     B9.2
 
realized                                                                                      B5.6