Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222584           6          46          41           7           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000835898           4          49          39           8           0        B9.0
GOES Xray  =   1.09743e-07           7          55          36           2           0        B5.8
est. ISN   =       17.0000          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                             8.50       53.25       33.25        5.00        0.00     B7.1
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)