Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00220293           8          44          39           9           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000781854          13          47          33           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   9.34589e-08           6          61          29           4           0        B4.7
est. ISN   =       18.0000          18          59          20           3           0        B3.2
 
together                            11.25       52.75       30.25        5.75        0.00     B5.8
 
realized                                                                                      B1.4