Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226366           4          35          47          14           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000858540           7          50          35           8           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   1.41667e-07           8          64          27           1           0        B6.7
est. ISN   =       16.0000          16          65          16           3           0        B2.7
 
together                             8.75       53.50       31.25        6.50        0.00     B7.1
 
realized                                                                                      B5.9