Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223798           6          48          41           5           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000881496           1          35          53          11           0        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   8.28755e-08           6          65          26           3           0        B4.0
est. ISN   =       14.0000          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                             7.75       53.00       34.00        5.25        0.00     B6.9
 
realized                                                                                      B7.4