Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221502           6          42          43           9           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000860392           7          50          33          10           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   6.57791e-08          17          68          14           1           0        B2.5
est. ISN   =       7.00000          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            20.25       50.00       24.75        5.00        0.00     B4.8
 
realized                                                                                      B4.9