Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00216940          26          56          16           2           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000799946          14          47          34           5           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   3.93658e-08          57          40           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       0.00000          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            37.00       45.75       15.25        2.00        0.00     B1.8
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)