Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00214675          33          49          15           3           0        B2.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000742574          22          42          29           7           0        B5.1
GOES Xray  =   3.53375e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       0.00000          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            41.75       41.75       13.75        2.75        0.00     B1.5
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)