Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215861          33          46          19           2           0        B2.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000789835          13          48          34           5           0        B6.6
GOES Xray  =   3.65618e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       20.0000          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                            30.00       46.75       20.50        2.75        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)