Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00217329          26          55          17           2           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000800674          14          45          35           6           0        B6.9
GOES Xray  =   5.13060e-08          39          53           7           1           0        B1.4
est. ISN   =       13.0000          20          62          17           1           0        B2.7
 
together                            24.75       53.75       19.00        2.50        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)