Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00219627          10          45          39           6           0        B7.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000825273           6          44          41           9           0        C1.2
GOES Xray  =   6.21607e-08          20          65          14           1           0        B2.4
est. ISN   =       8.00000          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            21.50       48.75       25.75        4.00        0.00     B4.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)