Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221671           5          47          40           8           0        B9.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000823246           8          41          43           8           0        C1.2
GOES Xray  =   9.31874e-08           5          62          29           4           0        B4.7
est. ISN   =       25.0000           7          55          32           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             6.25       51.25       36.00        6.50        0.00     B7.4
 
realized                                                                                      B4.0