Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00220253           8          45          38           9           0        B8.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000812295          11          43          39           7           0        B8.9
GOES Xray  =   8.06139e-08           7          68          22           3           0        B3.7
est. ISN   =       19.0000          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            10.25       53.75       30.50        5.50        0.00     B5.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)