Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221966           6          46          41           7           0        B9.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000842709           5          53          35           7           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   7.62600e-08          11          67          20           2           0        B3.3
est. ISN   =       24.0000           8          54          33           5           0        B6.5
 
together                             7.50       55.00       32.25        5.25        0.00     B7.1
 
realized                                                                                      B5.1