Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00220917           6          43          41          10           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000811336          11          43          39           7           0        B8.9
GOES Xray  =   7.64348e-08          10          68          20           2           0        B3.3
est. ISN   =       22.0000           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             8.75       52.00       33.50        5.75        0.00     B6.5
 
realized                                                                                      B1.3