Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00220653           7          43          40          10           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000805909          11          45          40           4           0        B7.9
GOES Xray  =   9.49058e-08           5          62          29           4           0        B5.2
est. ISN   =       18.0000          18          59          20           3           0        B3.2
 
together                            10.25       52.25       32.25        5.25        0.00     B6.0
 
realized                                                                                      B4.6