Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00219596          12          43          39           6           0        B7.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000779532          13          48          32           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   9.53222e-08           6          61          29           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =       15.0000          19          62          17           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            12.50       53.50       29.25        4.75        0.00     B5.4
 
realized                                                                                      B2.2