Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00218239          19          51          29           1           0        B4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000760032          13          41          37           9           0        B7.4
GOES Xray  =   9.32529e-08           5          62          29           4           0        B5.0
est. ISN   =       9.00000          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            18.50       50.00       27.50        4.00        0.00     B4.4
 
realized                                                                                      B3.7