Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00218752          14          47          36           3           0        B6.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000755566          18          42          31           9           0        B5.5
GOES Xray  =   1.02506e-07           6          59          31           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =       0.00000          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            22.25       47.00       26.75        4.00        0.00     B3.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6