Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00218086          22          49          28           1           0        B4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000757237          18          41          32           9           0        B6.1
GOES Xray  =   9.41851e-08           6          61          29           4           0        B5.0
est. ISN   =       8.00000          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            24.00       48.00       24.50        3.50        0.00     B3.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1