Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00216532          28          53          18           1           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000744741          20          42          30           8           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   6.24321e-08          19          65          15           1           0        B2.5
est. ISN   =       14.0000          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            21.25       56.00       19.75        3.00        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                      B2.4